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The Economics of Development is having different kinds of theories related to
Economic Development out of which the theory which is commonly used for paraphrasing the various
phases of economic development is the theory of Rostow’s Stages of Economic
Development . Walt Whitman Rostow, an American economist and historian,
proposed a model of economic development in 1960 that outlines five distinct
stages through which societies progress to achieve modern economic growth.
Known as the Rostow’s Stages of Economic Growth, this theory became a
cornerstone in understanding the structural transformation of economies. Below
are the stages as proposed by Rostow:
This is the starting point of economic development, characterized by a pre-industrial
economy. Societies at this stage rely heavily on subsistence agriculture, where
production is primarily for personal consumption rather than trade.
Productivity remains low due to the lack of advanced technology and scientific
knowledge. Social structures are hierarchical, with limited mobility, and
cultural norms often discourage innovation. Economic activities are
concentrated around basic survival, and significant portions of resources are
allocated to non-productive endeavours like religion or military activities.
2. The Preconditions for Take-off
In this stage, societies begin to lay the groundwork for modern economic growth. There
is a shift from traditional subsistence practices to the adoption of more
productive agricultural methods and basic industrialization. Investments in
infrastructure, such as roads, ports, and communication systems, become
priorities. The emergence of a centralized political authority and a banking
system facilitates economic coordination. External influences, such as trade or
technological borrowing from more advanced economies, often play a crucial
role. This phase sets the stage for increased productivity and accumulation of
capital, essential for further growth.
The “take-off” marks a critical turning point in economic development.
During this stage, sustained economic growth begins. Industrialization expands
rapidly, particularly in sectors with high growth potential like textiles or
heavy industries. Investment levels increase significantly, often exceeding 10%
of national income. Urbanization accelerates as people migrate from rural areas
to cities in search of industrial jobs. There is a noticeable shift in societal
attitudes, with an emphasis on innovation, entrepreneurship, and modernization.
External demand for goods or government support often acts as a catalyst,
ensuring momentum for growth.
This stage is characterized by the diversification of the economy. Industrialization
spreads across a wide range of industries, and technological advancements
continue to enhance productivity. The economy becomes less reliant on imports,
focusing instead on developing domestic industries to meet internal and
external demand. Social institutions, including education and healthcare,
improve significantly, fostering a more skilled and healthy workforce. Income
levels rise, and there is a notable shift from primary (agricultural) sectors
to secondary (industrial) and tertiary (services) sectors.
In the final stage, societies achieve high levels of economic affluence. Consumption
patterns shift from basic necessities to durable goods, luxury items, and
services. Economic activity focuses on satisfying consumer demand rather than
merely ensuring survival. Social welfare systems and income redistribution
mechanisms become integral, supporting broader access to health, education, and
infrastructure. The economy is now characterized by stability, high
productivity, and global influence.
Conclusion
Rostow’s model has been influential in understanding economic development but is not
without criticism. Critics argue that the model oversimplifies development,
assumes a linear progression, and ignores cultural, political, and regional
variations. Nevertheless, it provides a useful framework for analysing economic transitions and identifying barrier to growth in developing economies.
Stage 1: The Traditional Society
Stage 2: The Preconditions for Take-off
Stage 3: The Take-off
Stage 4: The Drive to Maturity
Stage 5: The Age of High Mass Consumption
Critical Thinking